Ideosphere

Forecasting questions about animal welfare, digital minds, and AI moral status are neglected in traditional prediction platforms. Ideosphere is a forecasting platform designed to close that gap.

The platform combines AI-generated baseline forecasts with the calibration signal of human experts from the Sentient Futures community. It works in three steps. First, AI agents produce baseline probability estimates on curated questions. Second, human forecasters compete against those AI forecasters, revising their beliefs as new information arrives. Third, the resulting disagreement signal produces calibrated data that supports better decision-making for researchers, policymakers, and funders.

The alpha platform at ideosphere.io is live with a curated set of forecasting questions spanning AI capabilities, safety, governance, sentience, and AI-for-good themes, and a methodological framing that positions human-AI forecasting as a field study with implications for AI welfare research and funding.